CLOSED-END FUND
RESEARCH AND PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT
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Researching mutual funds has been the "wheelhouse" of our firm since the beginning. In the early 2000's, we started researching Closed-End Funds in what seemed like a natural progression for our research capabilities. The research we uncovered was compelling, and inevitably led to the formulation of a proprietary investment strategy, and discretionary portfolio management. Today we are one of only a handful of firms across the United States who specialize in managing portfolios of discounted Closed-End Funds for our clients.
WHAT ARE CLOSED-END FUNDS?
Closed-End Funds (CEFs) are mutual funds that trade on an exchange, similar to a stock. They are regulated by the Investment Company Act of 1940, similar to Traditional Open-End Mutual Funds and Exchange Traded Funds. However, there are a number of key differences that make CEFs unique:
CEF MARKET INEFFICIENCY
The CEF market is inefficient. Generally speaking, proponents of an efficient market believe that all publicly available information about an asset is reflected in the asset's price. In contrast, an inefficient market is one where all publicly available information about an asset is not necessarily reflected in the asset's price, suggesting bargains are available.
WHY THE CEF MARKET IS INEFFICIENT:
CEFs often trade at a price that is below (discount)
or above (premium) their Net Asset Value (NAV)
There are hundreds of CEFs in many asset classes, but relatively few covering analysts, limiting information and efficiency
Historical data on CEFs is limited and often incomplete
Overall investor breakdown in
the CEF Market is approximately
80% Retail / 20% Institutional:
RETAIL
INSTITUTIONAL
RETAIL INVESTORS DOMINATE MARKET
Incredibly important to point out, as retail investors (as a whole) typically make investment decisions driven by emotion
Research indicates retail investors often chase performance: Purchase a fund after recent great performance; and
Sell a fund after what is perceived as poor performance
"Emotional" fund flows often move a CEF's price more so than its underlying NAV, which creates trading opportunities
See: Profit by Trading Against the Average Investor
THE CONNECTION BETWEEN CURRENT DISCOUNTS AND FUTURE RETURNS
Based on the success of various accounts we managed during 2000-2005 that focused on discounted CEFs, we began managing a partnership to capitalize on what appeared to be a steady relationship between large discounts and high subsequent total returns. The results were almost entirely satisfactory.
In 2008, we decided to investigate whether this relationship had historically persisted over time. Surprisingly, we found no evidence that anyone had ever engaged in such an investigation before. The only CEF index we found, in fact, was a 30-fund index calculated by Herzfeld Advisors in Miami, and provided weekly in Barron’s.
Academic studies were scarce, and we found none dedicated to answering the simple question:
Do large discounts lead consistently to higher total returns?
So in conjunction with the Cameron Center for Finance and Securities Analysis (Lundquist College of Business; University of Oregon), we set about constructing our own indexes of CEFs. We quickly found that nearly all the databases with information about CEFs threw out the data when funds went out of existence (either through liquidation, merger, or conversion into an open-end fund). And so we decided to do the best we could by taking all 600+ CEFs in existence in 2008, and collecting all relevant data on these funds back as far as we could.
STUDY RESULTS SUMMARY
Historically, for U.S. CEFs, discounts to NAV have been highly correlated with subsequent total returns.
Results are statistically significant across time, and across different CEF types.
A simple investment strategy based on discounts demonstrates impressive long-term results:
-
20% Annualized Return
-
0.7 Beta to the S&P 500
-
13% Annualized Alpha to the S&P 500
PROPRIETARY
ACADEMIC RESEARCH
SPONSORED BY:
MATISSE PRIVATE RESEARCH DATABASE
The University of Oregon study laid the foundation for what (to our knowledge) is now the longest known proprietary research database on CEF discounts
30+
YEARS OF RESEARCH
360+
MONTHS OF DATA
500+
CLOSED-END FUNDS
1,000,000+
DATA POINTS
CEF MARKET STATISTICS
(as of 9.30.2019)
Total Size in AUM
Approx. $229 Billion
Number of Funds
492
Number of Fixed Income Funds
294
Number of Equity Funds
131
Number of Balanced Funds
67
Number of CEF Categories
66 (separate Morningstar® categories represented)
Percentage Trading at a Discount
79%
Percentage Trading at a Premium
20%
Distribution of CEF Total Market Cap Across Asset Classes (as of 9.30.2019)
CEF Categories
Weight by Fund Count
Weight by Market Cap
Municipal Bonds
30%
27%
Taxable Bonds
30%
30%
Sector Equity
13%
14%
International Equity
8%
4%
US Equity
5%
7%
Balanced
10%
10%
Alternative/Commodity/Other
4%
8%
Distribution of Highly Discounted CEFs (as of 9.30.2019)
Defined as CEFs falling in the widest quintile of discounts
Municipal Bonds
15%
12%
Taxable Bonds
28%
36%
Sector Equity
17%
14%
International Equity
23%
18%
US Equity
8%
15%
Balanced
8%
6%
Alternative/Commodity/Other
0%
0%
Source: Matisse Capital
MATISSE INVESTMENT PROCESS
Primary
Quantitative
Screen
Discount and Yield Screening
Secondary
Quantitative
Screens
Absolute Discount to NAV
Distribution Yield
Discount Volatility
Historical NAV Relationship
Management Quality
Dividend Security
Fund Expense
Underlying Portfolio
Fund Size and Liquidity
Major Owners of Security
Insider Buying
Portfolio Construction
Shareholder Activism
Tax-Loss Selling Elimination
Ongoing
Qualitative
Analysis
Contrarian Asset Allocation
Exposure: Typical Position Size 1% to 5%
45 - 60 Core Holdings
Trade
Execution
Our academic research indicates that proper sizing of positions can enhance performance and returns
INVESTMENT PROCESS APPLICATION
Understanding CEF Returns
Market price increases relative to its NAV
NAV
Return
The change in value of a CEF's underlying assets (Net Asset Value)
+
Income
from CEF
Any dividends paid out by the CEF
-
Fees/ Expenses
Discount
Widening
Market price decreases relative to its NAV
Discount
Narrowing
-
+
=
or
Total
Return
Source: Matisse Capital
This graphic is a basic representation of Closed-End Fund returns and should be used for illustrative purposes only. There are other factors that can increase or decrease the total return of a Closed-End Fund.
MANAGED ACCOUNT PERFORMANCE
PORTFOLIO MANAGERS
Bryn Torkelson
President, CIO
Eric Boughton, CFA
Portfolio Manager, Chief Analyst
INVESTMENT OBJECTIVE: GROWTH & INCOME
The Strategy's investment objective is to produce superior risk-adjusted returns by purchasing income-producing CEFs at significant and unwarranted discounts to NAV. We scrutinize the entire universe of US CEFs daily, using our proprietary statistical model to select CEFs best positioned for both capital gains and income. We build a diversified, globally balanced portfolio using CEFs.
The Strategy's Indicated Annualized Cash Distribution Yield is 5.4% - Sharpe Ratio since inception is 0.61
Since Inception 1.1.2006
Performance Analysis 10.31.2019
Total
Annualized
10-Year
5-Year
3-Year
1-Year
Beta
Alpha
R2
Matisse Discounted CEF Strategy
S&P 500 Total Return
S-Network Composite CEF Index
MSCI ACWI
S&P Target Risk Growth Index*
211.7%
225.2%
143.2%
130.1%
120.4%
8.6%
8.9%
6.6%
6.2%
5.9%
9.5%
13.7%
8.4%
8.8%
8.0%
7.3%
10.8%
6.9%
7.1%
6.0%
10.4%
14.9%
8.6%
11.3%
8.5%
15.9%
14.3%
14.6%
12.6%
12.2%
0.74
0.94
0.71
1.13
2.03%
2.29%
4.03%
2.12%
0.65
0.87
0.71
0.71
Our since-inception risk stats vs. these indexes
*A multi-asset class globally balanced index with fixed allocation of 60% equity, 40% bonds
Returns are presented after a presumed 1% annual fee. All returns longer than 1 year are annualized unless noted.
Risk vs. Return
ANNUALIZED
RETURN
10%
9%
8%
7%
6%
5%
Matisse Discounted CEF Strategy
S&P 500 Total Return
S-Network Composite CEF Index
S&P Target Risk Growth Index
MSCI ACWI
9% 10% 11% 12% 13% 14% 15% 16% 17%
ANNUALIZED STANDARD DEVIATION
Matisse Discounted CEF Strategy Monthly Performance (%) after a presumed 1% annual management fee
Year
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Year
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
10.16%
3.33%
3.66%
-6.08%
0.50%
-1.50%
5.54%
6.68%
-0.03%
0.38%
3.52%
0.28%
-0.25%
3.18%
2.83%
-3.49%
2.72%
1.08%
2.56%
5.55%
-0.55%
3.39%
1.97%
2.29%
-9.90%
-1.26%
0.63%
1.63%
1.77%
-1.17%
1.45%
9.35%
0.04%
0.24%
1.70%
0.81%
0.56%
3.77%
4.65%
-2.63%
1.24%
0.23%
1.17%
0.14%
2.18%
3.16%
1.06%
2.21%
0.83%
-0.49%
2.04%
2.46%
9.17%
4.91%
2.78%
-0.96%
-4.21%
-0.54%
0.99%
0.35%
-0.48%
3.19%
-1.27%
-5.80%
0.76%
-6.50%
9.49%
3.56%
1.33%
-0.80%
4.27%
-0.44%
1.38%
2.06%
-3.83%
2.25%
-3.12%
3.68%
-0.26%
-1.50%
3.87%
-4.90%
-1.61%
2.11%
0.60%
1.47%
2.46%
4.40%
-1.62%
-1.39%
0.17%
2.24%
-2.00%
6.12%
7.62%
-3.30%
-2.91%
3.32%
-1.25%
0.11%
0.27%
1.00%
-5.95%
1.58%
-2.12%
1.78%
-3.91%
-0.28%
3.82%
-0.98%
0.04%
4.05%
3.05%
-1.13%
1.16%
0.17%
-2.95%
-3.63%
3.04%
2.70%
-6.63%
8.13%
6.19%
-14.93%
2.69%
1.87%
-0.89%
-5.56%
0.82%
-3.13%
7.34%
0.27%
2.23%
-0.12%
5.95%
3.00%
-1.84%
-8.90%
1.20%
3.36%
2.38%
0.42%
1.28%
-2.12%
0.75%
-1.18%
-1.03%
-1.15%
0.49%
3.87%
-15.03%
-1.96%
2.04%
-4.21%
1.81%
2.09%
-0.73%
-0.06%
2.50%
1.52%
0.43%
3.46%
3.55%
9.09%
1.23%
2.24%
18.20%
-9.10%
21.08%
16.03%
-6.61%
9.56%
7.68%
15.90%
-2.81%
23.19%
51.78%
-31.48%
4.33%
24.51%
Performance cited represents a composite of all Matisse Capital-advised accounts employing our discounted closed-end fund strategy, including our publicly traded mutual fund, net of all commissions, and separate accounts with a presumed 1% management fee. Past performance does not guarantee future results, which may vary. The value of investments and the income derived from investments will fluctuate and can go down as well as up. A loss of principal may occur. For details of the performance calculation method, please download our separate audited report. All performance figures for the strategy (except cash distribution yield) are total returns net of actual commissions incurred, and net of a presumed 1% annual management fee. Benchmark returns, by contrast, do not reflect a deduction for fees. You cannot invest directly in an index. Performance comparisons are for illustrative purposes only and are not a forecast of future returns. Alpha, beta and R2 are annualized since inception.
Closed-end funds involve investment risks different from those associated with other investment companies. First, the shares of closed-end funds frequently trade at a premium or discount relative to their net asset value. When one purchases shares of a closed-end fund at a discount to its net asset value, there can be no assurance that the discount will decrease, and it is possible that the discount may increase and affect whether one will realize a gain or loss on the investment. Second, many closed-end funds use leverage, or borrowed money, to try to increase returns. Leverage is a speculative technique and its use by a closed-end fund entails greater risk and leads to a more volatile share price. If a closed-end fund uses leverage, increases and decreases in the value of its share price will be magnified. The closed-end fund will also have to pay interest or dividends on its leverage, reducing the closed-end fund’s return. Third, many closed-end funds have a policy of distributing a fixed percentage of net assets regardless of the fund’s actual interest income and capital gains. Consequently, distributions by a closed-end fund may include a return of capital, which would reduce the fund’s net asset value and its earnings capacity. Finally, closed-end funds are allowed to invest in a greater amount of illiquid securities than open-end mutual funds. Investments in illiquid securities pose risks related to uncertainty in valuations, volatile market prices, and limitations on resale that may have an adverse effect on the ability of the fund to dispose of the securities promptly or at reasonable prices.
AUDITED CEF STRATEGY PERFORMANCE
Performance cited represents a composite of all Matisse Capital-advised accounts employing our discounted closed-end fund strategy, including our publicly traded mutual fund, net of all commissions, and separate accounts with a presumed 1% management fee. Past performance does not guarantee future results, which may vary. The value of investments and the income derived from investments will fluctuate and can go down as well as up. A loss of principal may occur. For details of the performance calculation method, please download our separate audited report. All performance figures for the strategy (except cash distribution yield) are total returns net of actual commissions incurred, and net of a presumed 1% annual management fee. Benchmark returns, by contrast, do not reflect a deduction for fees. You cannot invest directly in an index. Performance comparisons are for illustrative purposes only and are not a forecast of future returns. Alpha, beta and R2 are annualized since inception.
Closed-end funds involve investment risks different from those associated with other investment companies. First, the shares of closed-end funds frequently trade at a premium or discount relative to their net asset value. When one purchases shares of a closed-end fund at a discount to its net asset value, there can be no assurance that the discount will decrease, and it is possible that the discount may increase and affect whether one will realize a gain or loss on the investment. Second, many closed-end funds use leverage, or borrowed money, to try to increase returns. Leverage is a speculative technique and its use by a closed-end fund entails greater risk and leads to a more volatile share price. If a closed-end fund uses leverage, increases and decreases in the value of its share price will be magnified. The closed-end fund will also have to pay interest or dividends on its leverage, reducing the closed-end fund’s return. Third, many closed-end funds have a policy of distributing a fixed percentage of net assets regardless of the fund’s actual interest income and capital gains. Consequently, distributions by a closed-end fund may include a return of capital, which would reduce the fund’s net asset value and its earnings capacity. Finally, closed-end funds are allowed to invest in a greater amount of illiquid securities than open-end mutual funds. Investments in illiquid securities pose risks related to uncertainty in valuations, volatile market prices, and limitations on resale that may have an adverse effect on the ability of the fund to dispose of the securities promptly or at reasonable prices.
NEWSLETTER ARCHIVE
EDUCATION CENTER
The Education Center is a collection of external research and articles that we have found to be important, interesting, or helpful in understanding closed-end funds.
Links
Closed-End Fund Asset Class Performance
Closed-End Fund Types and Strategies
Considerations and Risks of Leverage
Funds with Managed Distribution Policies
Historical Closed-End Fund IPOs
Key Considerations for Closed-End Funds
Matisse Capital is not affiliated or endorsed by Closed-End Fund Association, Inc., Nuveen Investments, Inc., or Social Science Electronic Publishing, Inc. Matisse Capital is not responsible for the content of external websites. The content contained in the above links is not the property of Matisse Capital.
